According to the Employment Department's occupational employment projections, a solid 653,000 job openings are projected from 2012 to 2022, with 258,000 of these being new jobs created during this period. The remaining 391,000 job openings are due to the need to replace workers who retire or leave their occupations for other reasons. The projected 15.3 percent growth rate is much stronger than the 6 percent growth seen during the past decade.
Although not brand new, several economic trends surfaced in the occupational employment projections. Health care, influenced by the aging population, is expected to see continued strong growth during the coming decade; construction remains on the rebound from the Great Recession; and baby boomers are starting to retire with many more to follow, also creating job openings.
|Oregon Occupational Employment Projections, 2012-2022|
|Professional and Related||275,206||316,636||41,430||15.1%||41,531||57,736||99,267|
|Office and Administrative Support||262,782||294,706||31,924||12.1%||33,462||56,177||89,639|
|Sales and Related||170,771||193,313||22,542||13.2%||22,626||49,718||72,344|
|Management, Business, and Financial||157,916||183,279||25,363||16.1%||25,454||32,033||57,487|
|Transportation and Material Moving||119,382||133,875||14,493||12.1%||14,493||27,892||42,385|
|Construction and Extraction||58,708||74,062||15,354||26.2%||15,354||9,839||25,193|
|Installation, Maintenance, and Repair||61,723||70,199||8,476||13.7%||8,511||14,506||23,017|
|Farming, Fishing, and Forestry||39,501||46,701||7,200||18.2%||7,382||10,465||17,847|
|Total All Occupations||1,683,320||1,941,712||258,392||15.4%||260,771||391,924||652,695|
Trends in individual occupations impact growth. For example, demand for market research analysts is expected to increase as more analysts are needed to better guide advertising for specific audiences. Meeting, convention and event planners' demand is projected to increase as the technology used during meetings, such as video conferencing, becomes more complex. Also, increased globalization and more businesses recognizing the value of professionally planned meetings is expected to push demand higher. And multimedia artists and animators jobs are expected to be on the rise as special effects hardware and software are used more frequently.
Only a handful of occupations are expected to decline from 2012 to 2022. They are focused in postal jobs as the federal postal system cuts back; occupations related to changes in technology, such as motion picture projectionists and utilities meter readers; and some related to changes in our society that shift how we live, such as jobs related to publishing materials in print formats.
|Fastest Growing Occupations in Oregon With More Than 500 Employed, 2012-2022|
|Standard Occupational Classification Title||2012 Employment||Percent Change|
|Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists||2,390||37.8%|
|Painters, Construction and Maintenance||3,306||37.0%|
|Physical Therapist Aides||605||36.5%|
|Medical Equipment Repairers||592||36.3%|
|Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners||889||36.2%|
|Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers||1,130||36.2%|
|Pest Control Workers||892||36.1%|
|Personal Financial Advisors||869||34.9%|
|Multimedia Artists and Animators||645||34.3%|
|Nonfarm Animal Caretakers||2,218||34.1%|
|Comp-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and Plastic||2,019||34.0%|
|Home Health Aides||7,101||33.8%|
|Interpreters and Translators||833||33.3%|
|Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers||1,620||33.0%|
|Industrial Machinery Mechanics||3,723||32.9%|
|Logging Equipment Operators||2,112||32.6%|
|Physical Therapist Assistants||582||32.0%|
Switching from entry to competitive education, about 55 percent of the openings require post-secondary education for applicants to be competitive - a level of education needed to stand out among job applicants. The competitive education level is a step beyond the typical level needed for entry, and will help job seekers compete for jobs, especially when the economy is contracting and competition for jobs heats up.
All statewide and regional employment projections are available at QualityInfo.org. Select a region from the map at the top-right of the home page, then look under the Publications tab for the region to find industry and occupation projections to 2022.
This article marks the second in a two-part series highlighting employment trends. Last month, an article focused on industry projections and provided additional insight on industry employment trends.