Southwest Oregon Jobs Projected to Increase 10% by 2030

by Brian Rooney

November 29, 2021

Southwest Oregon’s, total employment will grow by 7,380 jobs between 2020 and 2030, according to new projections from the Oregon Employment Department. Projections for the region, which includes Coos, Curry, and Douglas Counties, point to moderate job growth between 2020 and 2030 and account for recovery from low employment levels in 2020 from the COVID-19 recession. In addition, many job openings are expected due to the need to replace workers who leave their occupations.

In 2020, there were 71,120 jobs in Southwest Oregon. The 10% increase in employment between 2020 and 2030 includes private-sector gains of 6,050 jobs, 1,280 jobs in government, and an additional 50 job gain in self-employed Southwest Oregon residents.

All Industries Add Jobs

All major industry sectors are expected to add jobs. Leisure and hospitality is projected to increase the fastest and add the most jobs. The projected 1,500 job increase (22% growth) in leisure and hospitality is mainly driven by the recovery from the pandemic, as restaurants, hotels and arts, cultural, and recreational establishments are expected to see increased demand as in-person and recreational activities resume.

The private educational and health services sector will add the second-largest number of jobs, gaining 1,350 jobs (13% growth) over the 10-year period. Made up mostly of health services, the growth in the sector is attributed to the aging of the state’s population, longer life expectancies, and continued population growth.

Trade, transportation, and utilities is a large industry sector that is projected to grow by 1,180 jobs (9%) due to a recovery from the COVID-19 recession in retail trade, including a new WinCo grocery store in Roseburg, and demand for transportation services as more people shop online and need products delivered.
Government

Projections show relatively modest growth in government. Federal government will add 100 jobs (5%) including some additional employment for fire suppression. State government is expected to add 110 jobs (9%). Local government will add 1,070 jobs (10%), helped by gains in education as local schools reopen after the COVID-19 crisis.

All Industries Need Workers

Beyond gains associated with the economic recovery from the COVID-19 recession and anticipated economic growth, another 80,790 job openings will be created by 2030 to replace workers who retire, leave the labor force for other reasons, or make a major occupational change. Together, the number of job openings due to economic recovery, job growth, and replacements will total 88,160.

More information on 2020-2030 industry and occupational projections for Oregon and sub-state areas can be found at QualityInfo.org/projections.


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