Oregon’s Nonresident Workers

by Nick Beleiciks and Erik Knoder

January 17, 2019

Oregon’s open beaches, rugged mountains, and grape-filled hillsides make it a popular destination for visitors. But there’s something else about Oregon that attracted over 109,000 people from out of state in 2015 – jobs. Roughly 7 percent of people who make their living in Oregon make their home in some other state. Not surprising to anyone driving the bridges over the Columbia River during rush hour, four out of five of these nonresident workers come from Washington.

Traveling in the other direction are Oregonians who migrate to work for employers in other states. There were nearly 58,000 people who lived in Oregon and worked out of state in 2015. This resulted in a net inflow of about 52,000 workers to Oregon – up from a net inflow of 49,800 in 2005. Workers crossing state boundaries influence the economy in a variety of ways. This article focuses on where nonresident workers live, their contribution to Oregon’s General Fund, and their effect on Oregon’s per capita personal income.

Growing Number of Nonresident Workers

The number of nonresident workers grew rapidly over the last decade, from 81,378 in 2005 to 109,246 in 2015. That impressive 34 percent increase in nonresident workers was surpassed by the 83 percent rise in Oregonians working in other states, which grew
from 31,573 in 2005 to 57,664 in 2015. Since the number of nonresident workers employed in Oregon started from a larger base, the net inflow of workers continued to grow from 49,805 in 2005 to 51,582 in 2015.
Home Is Where the Tax Form Is

The 87,309 Washingtonians working in Oregon in 2015 accounted for more than 5 percent of all workers with jobs in Oregon. Among Oregon’s other neighbors, there were 7,811 Californians; 6,766 Idahoans; and 454 Nevadans working in Oregon.

The fact that people live in neighboring states and work in Oregon isn’t surprising. But what about workers living in Texas, New York, Florida, and other far away states? Their numbers more than quadrupled between 2005 and 2015, but they’re not likely crossing the Snake River on I-84 each morning to get to work. Nonresident workers may live in both states but maintain their primary residence outside Oregon, or work in Oregon on temporary assignment, or they may have moved during the year and their residency status wasn’t updated yet. Residency is assigned by the U.S. Census Bureau based on data from federal agencies such as the Internal Revenue Service and the Social Security Administration, so the state where the worker files their taxes is considered home.
One possible explanation for the growing number of nonresident workers is the rise in teleworking – regular employees working outside the conventional workplace and interacting with others via communication technologies. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the number of people working from home in Oregon increased by 21,588 from 2007 to 2015. There’s a good chance that teleworkers are driving some of the increase in Oregon’s nonresident workforce.

Taxed By Where the Work Takes Place

Regardless of where they claim residency, income earned from services performed in Oregon by nonresidents is subject to Oregon income tax. According to the Oregon Department of Revenue, the total Oregon personal income tax liability of nonresidents was nearly $810 million in 2015, or 11 percent of the total tax liability. Personal income tax is the largest source of revenue for Oregon’s General Fund.

The Oregon personal income tax liability of Washington residents was $293 million in 2015, with nearly 70 percent coming from Clark County residents. In fact, Clark County would rank eighth among Oregon counties for Oregon personal income liability (if it were in Oregon). The Oregon personal income tax liability of Californians was $49 million, Idaho residents were responsible for $23 million, and $153 million came from residents of other areas outside Oregon.

Inflow of Workers Lowers Oregon’s PCPI

Nonresidents working jobs in Oregon lowers one closely followed measure of regional income. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) estimate of per capita personal income (PCPI) is the annual sum of all resident income in a geographic area divided by the number of residents in the area. The BEA adjusts for residency by counting work income in the worker’s state of residence. A net outflow of workers adds to a state’s PCPI, while a net inflow of workers, such as Oregon has, subtracts from a state’s PCPI.

With a net $4.2 billion in earnings by the inflow of nonresident workers in 2015, Oregon had the fifth largest net out-adjustment for residency of any state in the BEA’s calculation of PCPI. The large adjustment is a result of Oregon’s major employment center – Portland, with about half of the state’s jobs – being right on the border with Washington. If Oregon had no net inflow of workers in 2015, Oregon’s PCPI would have been about $1,041 higher and would have stood at 94 percent relative to the nation’s PCPI instead of 92 percent. In other words, nonresident workers account for roughly one-quarter of the gap between Oregon’s PCPI and the nation’s.

Nonresident Workers Data

Information about Oregon’s nonresident workers is from the U.S. Census Bureau’s OnTheMap data, part of the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) partnership with the states. OnTheMap provides the most comprehensive data available for worker flows by residency and place of work. The data is for workers during the second quarter of the year. This analysis only considers a worker’s primary job – the job with the most earnings during the quarter – to avoid double counting of workers with two jobs.

To explore and use the data available from OnTheMap, visit http://onthemap.ces.census.gov.


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