Technology Reduces Employment in the Printing IndustryOctober 20, 2017 Employment in printing and related support activities has been on the decline since the late 1990s. Advances in digital technology have contributed to declines in employment in two important ways. First, by changing the marketplace the industry operates in as options to deliver information become more diverse. And secondly, by improving productivity so the industry needs fewer workers to do the same amount of work.
Firms in the printing and related support activities industry (which will be referred to as the “printing industry”) print products, such as newspapers, books, periodicals, business forms, greeting cards, and other materials, and perform support activities, such as bookbinding, platemaking, and data imaging. Newspapers and other publishers that do in-house printing are classified in the publishing industry of the information sector and are not included here.
An Industry in Long-Term Decline
Employment in the printing industry has been declining for more than a decade, but it remains an important industry in Oregon, employing about 4,800 in 2017.
Annual average employment in the industry has dropped about 43 percent since 2001. Going further back in time, employment in commercial printing had increased until the mid-1990s. It then leveled off for a few years before starting a slow decline in the late 1990s. The decline accelerated during the early part of the 2000s. After a relatively stable period between 2006 and 2008, the industry, like most in manufacturing, was hurt by the Great Recession. Since then, employment has been relatively stable, declining slightly over the past six years.
The largest portion of the printing and related support activities industry is in private-sector printing. The support activities for printing subsector is relatively small, with an annual average employment of 227 in 2016, down 72 percent from the 811 recorded in 2001.
Technology and the Printing Industry
Through history, from ancient Chinese block printing, to Johannes Guttenberg’s movable type press, to lithographic offset printing, to today’s digital printing, technological advances have made printing more productive and of higher quality, increasing the availability of information.
Today, however, other forms of media are distributing information at an increasing rate. First radio, then television, and now the Internet and e-books have taken market share. This has reduced the demand for printed material and contributed to the decline of industry employment.
Although some in-house newspaper printing is not included in this industry, the decline of newspaper circulation is a prime example of how technology has reduced the demand for printed material. Online news has many advantages. It’s often free of charge, has a wider range of information available, and the ability to provide updates several times a day. This has pushed people online for their news and away from print newspapers. According to the Newspaper Association of America, paid circulation began to drop in the late 1980s. Between 1990 and 2014, weekday circulation in the U.S. dropped from 62,328,000 to 40,420,000, a loss of 21,908, or 35 percent. According to estimates from the Pew Research Center, weekday circulation had dropped to 34,657,199 by 2016.
Another way technology can reduce employment is through increased productivity. In many manufacturing industries, improvements in productivity eventually make the industry less labor intensive, reducing employment. One measure of productivity is the output per worker. The second graph measures productivity as the inflation adjusted contribution per worker of the industry to Oregon’s gross domestic product. It shows that except for the recessionary period from 2008 to 2009, the printing and support activities industry has generally increased productivity, going from a little over $50,000 per worker per year in the early 2000s to more than $80,000 per year by 2015. Although productivity can be increased in other ways, it is at least partly due to better technology.
Occupations in the Printing Industry
The largest occupations in the printing and related support activities industry are production workers. These are workers who do the printing, binding, and prepress work. Not surprisingly, the largest occupation is printing press operator, which makes up 22 percent of the industry’s employment. The next largest occupation, bindery workers, makes up 10 percent of the industry. These workers take the printed materials and bind them into books and other publications
The first table lists the largest 16 occupations in the printing industry and their wages. The wages listed are for all industries that include the occupation, not just printing and support activities. Wages in the printing and support activities industry are midlevel. The 2016 average annual pay for the industry is $44,919 compared with an overall statewide wage for all industries of $49,467. The wage for the support activities subsector is a little higher at $51,964. However, wages in the industry are low for a manufacturing industry. Overall, manufacturing has an average annual wage of $67,494.
Most occupations in printing production, such as printing machine operators and bindery workers, require only a high school diploma and moderate on the job training, and tend to pay below the industry average. Others, like prepress technicians and graphic artists
may require education beyond high school and involve artistic skills. These occupations generally pay higher wages.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, national employment in the printing and related support activities industry is expected to decline by roughly 18 percent between 2014 and 2024. Continued loss of market share to other media and continued automation causes net overall employment to decline in the future, but at a much slower pace than in recent years. In the 10 years between 2004 and 2014 the industry declined by about 32 percent.
Demand for some forms of printed material like packaging and direct mail advertising that are not as susceptible to replacement by electronic formats is expected to increase along with economic and population growth. This will moderate the losses from technical advances expected elsewhere in the industry.
Most occupations in the printing industry in Oregon are expected to decline. However, with an aging labor force there are expected to be increased replacement needs from retirements that will help provide opportunity. The second table shows the expected employment change and replacement needs of occupations most directly related to printing and support activities. Several of the occupations are expected to have no openings created by growth, but are expected to provide opportunity through replacement openings.
After years of decline since the 1990s, and a big drop during the Great Recession, the long-term projection is for future advancements in technology to further reduce employment in the printing industry. Still, paper products will have a place in our economy for a long time to come and, in the future, declines in printing-industry employment are expected to be slower than they’ve been over the past decade.